Primary Predictions: 5/20

Kentucky: Clinton, by more than 20%
Oregon: Obama, by more than 10%

Also in Oregon, Steve Novick will win the democratic senate primary.

Rodhamobama

Check out this creepy SNL video:

A Beer with Steve Novick

In addition to the presidential priamry, tomorrow Oregon's primary will also select the Democratic nominee to challenge Senator Gordon Smith. The top two candidates in the polling are Oregon House Speaker Jeff Merkley and lawyer and activist Steve Novick.

Novick relased the following add, which is worth watching (hat tip to JHE):

VP Losing Home State

So who will be the VP nominees for each party? Much has been made about whether a VP nominee can carry his or her home state.

Looking back over the past 40 years, the winning VP candidate has always carried his home state. (The losing candidate has not.)

2004 - Cheney - Wyoming
2000 - Cheney - Wyoming (Also, Lieberman carried Connecticut)
1996 - Gore - Tennessee
1992 - Gore - Tennessee
1988 - Quayle - Indiana
1984 - Bush - Texas
1980 - Bush - Texas
1976 - Mondale - Minnesota
1972 - Agnew - Maryland

The last time that that a winning VP candidate did not carry his home state was 1968, when sitting Maryland Governor Spiro Agnew failed to win his home state of Maryland. (The Nixon/Agnew ticket lost by 20,000 votes, compared to 178,000 for independent candidate George Wallace, so we'll never know what would have happened in a two-way race.)

Don't evoke Neville if you don't know what he did

Chris Matthews shows why having an intricate knowledge of history is an asset for a pundit; having some is requirement. (Hat tip to Publius.)

Obama responds to Bush's foreign policy

Watch Obama's speech from South Dakota, responding to Bush's comments on foreign policy before the Knesset in Israel.

California Supreme Court Legalizes Gay Marriage

Read about it here.

Today is a proud day in America's ongoing civil rights struggle.